Turning £10 into a small fortune within 3 months

We know there is no such thing as a certainty in any sport but if you could find a 1/10 shot every day and started off with only £10 you would win over £50,000 within 3 months, assuming that every selection won.

As we know, it’s very rare to find a horse every day that runs at 1/10 and on the odd occasion they lose.

So how do we find that 1/10 shot that has less chance of losing, like i said before nothing in sport is certain but if your looking for 1/10 shots to try and win a small fortune then look no further than football matches.

The over 0.5 goals market to be precise, although we see many games end 0-0, they are few and far between and all you have to do is avoid the 0-0 scorelines.

In this season’s English Premier League we have had 69 matches so far and only 5 of them have been 0-0 draws.

In this season’s La Liga games we have had 70 games and and seen only 2 of them end up as 0-0 draws.

The chances of any game ending up 0-0 in these leagues is very small, there will always be a doubt in any game.

If you can find only 1 game per day that WILL NOT end up 0-0 and start with £10 then after 30 days you will end up with £174.51 assuming the price is 1/10 for over 0.5 goals, the bigger teams who score most weeks will probably be a lot shorter but you can find plenty of games priced up at 1/10

What you could win
If you picked a 1/10 every day then this what you could after a set amount of days –

10 = £25.94
20 = £67.28
30 = £174.51
40 = £452.70
50 = £1,174.18
60 = £3,045.52
70 = £7,899.29
80 = £20,488.81
90 = £53,142.69

It will be very very hard to get to 90 days consecutive days without picking a 0-0 draw, but it’s certainly not impossible.

I am very tempted to try this at 10 day intervals and withdraw my stake each time, after each set of 10 days assuming i get that far, if i can get to 10 days then i will make a small profit.

Let’s say i pick a 1/10 every day and after £10 days my winnings would be £25.94, so i withdraw £10 and leave myself with £15.94.

My £15.94 would be used on the next 10 days and if they all come in at 1/10 then my winnings would be £41.34

Don’t forget, all we are looking for is 1 goal in our chosen football match, it doesn’t matter who scores it, when it was scored or how it was scored, just as long as one of the teams playing scores a goal.

I know you are all thinking it’s impossible but just look at the results from last weekends games in England alone.

On Saturday in the Premiership, Championship, League 1 & League 2 there were a total of 42 games on Saturday, of those 42 only 4 of those were 0-0 and 3 of them were in League 2, on Sunday there was 4 games in the Premiership and only 1 game finished 0-0, but would you really have picked Liverpool/Stoke as your over 0.5 game when you had Tottenham, Man Utd, Real Madrid, Barcelona and other big teams who avoided 0-0 draws playing.

It’s International Weekend this weekend and when the last set of World Cup qualifiers were played in Europe there wasn’t a single 0-0 draw from over 20 games.

It is possible to win big from a small stake, you need that little bit of luck and a lot of bottle if you reach 30 days and your putting almost £200 on a game having at least 1 goal in it.

Sports Betting Money Management Skills – Part Two

Unit Size

Next, you should think about the type of investor that you are. Are you aggressive or conservative? Are you experienced or a novice? The answers to these questions will help you to determine the size of your typical bet. This is called your “unit” size.

We typically recommend that a sports investor bet 1% – 3% of their bankroll on each bet. Conservative sports investors (or beginners) should bet 1%-2% on a play. Note that professionals are normally in the 1% range.

Aggressive sports investors might want to bet 3% on a play. 2% is a good medium; it allows you to withstand a losing streak while helping to build up your sports investing bankroll. Very aggressive investors might bet 4% or 5% of their bankroll on a bet, but this is too risky for most investors.

Why not 4% or 5%? The short answer is: Streaks and the risk of ruin. If you bet amounts that are too large, a bad streak could cut your bankroll in half (or worse). You then might feel like you need to reduce your bet size – just before the inevitable hot streak. Smaller bet sizes are more prudent and allow you to stick to your approach and stay disciplined.

“True” Bankroll and “Risk Capital”

Whenever we talk about percentages of bankroll, most casual bettors feel that they are on the “high end” of the ranges we discuss. This might SEEM true – but only because the “true bankroll” for most casual bettors is higher than what they have in their accounts. That is, many bettors might have $X in their accounts, but are willing to add another $Y if they draw down their account. Professionals normally already know their “full bankroll” and need to preserve their “capital” versus “risk of ruin.”

Investors – and in this case, sports investors – need to understand the level of their “true bankroll” or “risk capital (allocated to sports).” Once investors take a serious look at their finances, they might better understand the “true” level or amount they allocate to sports investing. They might then realize that 1%-2% of their “true bankroll” or “risk capital” is indeed a realistic bet size.

Summary: Money Management and Playing Defense

Many of our articles focus on SportsInsights.com’s philosophies and contrarian strategies that have proven to work over time. In this article, we focused on money management – an area where most bettors do not pay enough attention. In essence, good “money management” is a lot like playing good defense. Money management will allow you to “stay in the game” during tough times so that good handicapping strategies (your offense) can put you ahead.

Sports Betting Money Management Skills

Most of us focus on betting systems and strategies that will be profitable. After all, without a good betting system, we won’t make any money, right? The same thing can be said about “money management.” That is, if you don’t pay attention to money management, you might not be able to take that “next” step to becoming a “sports investor.” Good money management will reduce the chances of extreme losses and help turn this “hobby” into a legitimate “investment.”

In the world of finance, many professionals use the phrase “risk management” and “money management” interchangeably. What are we trying to do when we focus on “money management?” In simple words, we’re trying to “manage our money” – or “manage our risk.” Our goal is to preserve our capital or hard-earned money. We want to minimize the chances for loss – or in a larger sense, minimize our “risk of ruin.”

The information on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Use of this information in violation of any federal, state, or local laws is prohibited.

Flat Betting

First things, first… We believe that “flat” betting is the way to go. That is, bet the same amount for each play. “Chasing” or increasing bet size based on your last bet (or series of bets) is not recommended. (This is true for most people; please see * Note * below.)

Over time, you may hear about various systems where you increase your bet size “knowing” that you are due to win sooner or later. In general, these systems don’t work. Eventually, a bad streak occurs and you are betting a recklessly large amount to re-coup losses.

In general, many of these approaches MIGHT seem to improve short-term performance – BUT at the HUGE expense of increasing your risk of ruin. A bad stretch could endanger your bankroll fairly quickly. If you DO succumb to the charms of various Martingale systems, please use some sort of systematic risk management method. In this business of sports investing, it pays to minimize your risk of ruin.

Professional money managers – as well as sensible sports investors – will agree that you should minimize the chances of “blowing out” your investment portfolio. Flat betting will help you to “stay the course” and ride the ups and downs of investing.

* Note *: Experienced gamblers might use a variation of a Martingale or “chase” systems – but will always have some sort of risk control in place. This is beyond the scope of this article but might be addressed in a future article on money management.

The odds offered on draws fail to take into account a team’s style of play and can represent better value for money

Two factors, above all others, influence the result of a football match – the difference in ability between the two teams and whether they are likely to become involved in a high-scoring or low-scoring contest. The first has been discussed here before. The second is overlooked by some bookmakers and one consequence of their omission is that there is yet another category of games in which the draw is sometimes offered at bigger odds than it should be.

The fewer goals there are likely to be in a match the more likely it becomes that both teams will score the same number. A good way of illustrating this point is with some figures from Premier and Football League games played during the past 10 seasons. The average number of goals scored in those games was 2.55. Overall, 27% of games were drawn. However, low-scoring teams were involved in more stalemates than high-scoring teams.

Teams whose games averaged between 2.5 and 2.6 goals drew 27% of the time. Teams whose games averaged between 2.9 and 3.0 goals drew only 25% of the time. But teams whose games averaged between 2.1 and 2.2 goals drew as much as 31% of the time. You can see that across this range the incidence of draws varied by 6%, depending on whether teams tended to become involved in open or tight contests.

Bookmakers generally ignore the style of a team’s play, taking into account only the strength of their play. Consequently, some bookmakers rarely quote a draw at shorter than 12–5. However, there are occasions when the odds should really be shorter – namely, when one or both of the teams has a history of low scores.

Fulham’s games this season have averaged only 1.8 goals, less than any other team in the Premier League. It is no coincidence that Fulham have drawn a higher proportion of their games than any other team in the Premier League – 39%. Wycombe’s games have averaged 2.0 goals, fewer than any other team in League Two. And they have drawn 39% of their games, the second highest proportion in League Two. When one or both teams have a tendency to become involved in low scores, the draw can sometimes represent value for money.

What is Rotisserie?

Definition:

Rotisserie scoring – roto, for short – is a scoring system used in many fantasy basketball (and baseball, where it originated) games. In rotisserie-style scoring, each team is awarded points based on where they rank in a statistical category. If a league has ten teams, the team finishing first in the points category would get ten points, the second-place team would get nine, third-place gets eight, and so on.

The most common rotisserie format in fantasy basketball leagues uses eight categories:

points
assists
rebounds
steals
blocks
three-pointers (3PT)
field goal percentage (FG%)
free throw percentage (FT%)

Such a league would be referred to as “eight-cat roto” in fantasy-speak.

Many leagues add turnovers or assist-to-turnover ratio as a ninth category.
Counting Stats vs. Percentage Stats

Categories like points, assists and rebounds are often referred to as “counting” stats. Tracking them is simple – add up the total number of points scored by every player on the team. But for percentage stats like field goal percentage (or batting average in baseball), scoring is based on the entire team’s percentage.

When rating players in a percentage stat category, it is important to look at the component numbers that make up that percentage. Dwight Howard’s awful free-throw shooting has a disproportionate impact on a fantasy team’s FT% because he is usually among the league leaders in attempts.

Why “Rotisserie?”

Fantasy baseball – and most of the fantasy sports that followed – was invented in the early 1980s by author Daniel Okrent and a group of his friends. Their usual meeting place was a restaurant in New York called “La Rotisserie Francaise.” As the sport gained popularity, “rotisserie” became a catch-all term describing any and all fantasy sports games and the basis for popular fantasy sport information sites like Rotowire.com .

While “fantasy” sports or leagues is the more common term now, “rotisserie” lives on as the most popular way to describe that style of scoring.

Examples: Dwight Howard’s awful free-throw shooting will absolutely kill you in leagues that use rotisserie scoring.

NBA Betting System – Part Two

The second part of the system is a bit more complicated, as it involves taking the underdog when they go from a negative situation to a positive based on the line. The first part of the system is done in the exact same manner as the first example, in that you take the winning percentages and use the divider of 20.

For example, if the 76ers have a winning percentage of .400 and the Clippers have a winning percentage of .320, the 76ers would be rough favorites of four points.

If the 76ers are at home, Philadelphia is favored by seven (+7) and one the road the 76ers are favored by one (+1). From the Clippers’ perspective, they are seven-point underdogs on the road, which is (-7), while at home, the Clippers are one-point underdogs (-1).

When you factor in the point spread, the Clippers have the possibility of going from a negative figure to a positive figure and could possibly be a play.

If the 76ers are favored by 8 to 9.5 points at home, the Clippers would be the play, as they go from (-7) to (+1). (Remember we exclude games where the point spread is 10 points or more.)

If the 76ers are favored by 2 to 9.5 points on the road, the Clippers would again be the play, as they will go from (-1) to (+1) or greater.

Once again, the same qualifiers of back-to-back games being tossed out and staying away from teams with an injured starter.

As with all systems, just because something has worked in the past does not mean it will work in the future. But the system is certainly something that should be tracked over the course of the season.

NBA Betting System

A fairly old NBA betting system has made a comeback, although with an addition, essentially making it a two-part system. The reported record was over 60-percent last season, so it appears to be working as well as ever.

When I first heard about the system it was called the Christmas System, as it wouldn’t take effect until after Christmas, giving every team the opportunity to play roughly 25 games or more. Currently, the system is being used after each team has played approximately 20 games, which will be around Dec. 12 this season.

The First System
The first system is fairly easy to use, although it may sound a bit complicated the first time you read it. It will soon become second nature, however, so don’t worry.

The first step is to take the winning percentage of each team, which is easily found online or in any newspaper, and subtract the lower winning percentage from the higher percentage.

For example, if the Celtics have a winning percentage of .750 and the Atlanta Hawks have a winning percentage of .450, the difference is .300. We will drop the decimals for ease of use with the system.

The second step is to dive the percentage differential by 20. In this case, we will divide 300 by 20 for a total of 15, which would mean our rough line on the game is Boston by 15 points.

Allow three points to the home team, so Boston would be -12 on the road or -18 if the Celtics are at home.

Subtract the point spread from the favored team and if the difference is 10 or greater, you would have a play. So, if the Celtics were favored by 2.0 points or less, or were the underdog on the road, they would be a play, as 12 – 2 = 10. If the Celtics were at home, they could be favored by as much as 8 points to be a play, as 18 – 8 = 10.

If the Celtics were favored by three or more on the road, or nine or more at home, there would be no play, as the difference is less than 10 points.

There are several qualifiers, such as the team cannot be in the second of back-to-back games, cannot have an injured starter, and no games with a point spread of 10 or more points is considered.

Betting on the Underdog

The derogatory term underdog has its origins in the dog fighting of the late 19th century. Back then it simply meant the dog that lost the fight. These days, with our more politically correct attitudes, such barbaric sports have of course been abolished, but the word has survived – a remnant of our past. The word now means the team or individual that is expected to lose the match. In a world of perfect predictions the favourite would always defeat the underdog, who would slouch away, its tail between its legs.

The betting odds will always be lower for the favourite of course, since the bookmakers expect the underdog to lose, and the favourite to win. Psychologists state there is a kind of ingrained mentality to root for the favourite, since we want to avoid the shame of losing – along with losing our money one would assume. The bookmakers are well aware of this phenomenon, so they adjust the odds even more to the favourite. Because of this there is great value in betting on the underdog. Obviously they are less likely to win, but with such competitively high odds your takings may well be substantial. If the favourite wins you might pocket what you bet, and very little more – but if the underdog wins you may do very well indeed. Besides, it is always more fun betting on the underdog – and there is a kind of honour and integrity supporting the side no one expects to win!

For sports like NFL football, or with Asian Handicaps, where spread betting is widely employed, the points presented can result in good news even if the underdog loses. For those skilled in handicapping – a technique every betting enthusiast should have mastered – this can be very advantageous.

Vigorish is the peculiar term meaning the commission the bookmakers charge on all winning bets – typically around 5%. If the player makes a pair of equal bets on the favourites, which have odds of around 1.8, and only one is successful, then their overall result will be a loss. It is necessary to choose correctly more than half the time, typically between 55% to 60%, in order for you to make a profit by choosing favourites.

The situation is different when employing this tactic with underdogs – indeed it will actually sound a far more attractive betting technique. If the player chooses two underdogs, with one winning at odds of about 2.1, then the payout will be substantial enough to cover not only the stake, but also the vigorish – not forgetting of course a profit! If this tactic is employed over time, a success rate of merely 40% to 45% in choosing the underdogs correctly will result in a theoretical winning strategy.

The season gambler who employs the tactic of betting on underdogs will always be on the lookout for something called “home dogs.” These are weak teams, who have a distinctive home advantage, which is overlooked by the bookmakers. The theory is that the emotional security of playing at their familiar ground boosts the confidence, allowing for performances that defy the odds.

There are many betting techniques and systems that incorporate the underdog. Many players swear by these techniques, and even find some honour and decency in always rooting for the side that everyone else expects to lose. It certainly makes the experience more fun, and the chances or huge wins are far more likely. Those who bet exclusively on the favourites, or even those high up the scale, can never expect to have big payouts, for the simple reason that the bookmakers are protecting their own money by restricting the winnings on these players, who are of course very likely to succeed. Players who always bet in this way are often looked on scornfully by those who root for the underdog. They will never know the absolute thrill and excitement of seeing the participant, the one you have money riding on, that no one expected to succeed – that everyone was sure would come last, come tearing round the corner, and to everyone’s astonishment, win the race!

Games and Gambling: Gambling in Italy knows no crisis

It will be to forget the stresses of daily life. Is it because dreaming is sometimes the only way to get by. The fact is that the field of gaming and betting in Italy does not know pushups. Indeed. The Italians love to rely more and more often to luck. It does not matter if pointing, scratching or buying lottery tickets. The hope is to change lives and to change it to their loved ones, in spite of the recession, the high price of oil and of international financial crises. The boom is of course facilitated by the advent of the internet and mobile phones. But let’s see the numbers in detail.

THE BOOM turnover in the Peninsula was 41.7 billion euro in the past year ( +169 % from 2003 to 2007 ), almost 3% of gross domestic product ( GDP). The growth was 19.7 % compared to 2006, with revenue for the State closer to 8 billion (+7.1 %). A mouth-watering a large number of Italian and foreign companies, led by the two listed Lottomatica and Sisal. But it is not the good old Lot to pull the cart: Italians rather than dreaming and smorfiare to bet on the numbers, they prefer the video -poker.

This kind of machines have taken hold over the past decade represents, today, 31.2 % of the revenue from the games industry for the taxman. The Lotto instead stops at 24%. This growth has led these slot machines to touch the 250 thousand units, producing a flush to the exchequer of 2miliardi and 250milioni euro. Also in 2007, the collection online in Italy has yielded little more than a billion Euros, or 2.5 % of total deposits and 16.2% of the total scraped together from the four Italian casinos. A lord it on the web sports betting (88 %).

HANDS OF THE MAFIA. The specific portfolio of gaming and betting, which employs about 150 thousand people, brings Italy to second place among the European countries they love to gamble, so as to have attracted the growing interest of organized crime. It has gone so quickly from illegal gambling to the flourishing of society that are regular in fact a cover for mafia gangs.

There are a number of judicial investigations that highlight the close link between criminal groups and most of the games industry. On all remember the investigation “Old Bridge”, conducted by the prosecutor of Palermo and focuses on the connections between Cosa Nostra and Italian-American clan in relation to sports betting market.

EGR Awards: 888 Paddy Power betting online

Also this year, in November took place the eGaming Review Operator Awards, as always, have given prizes to the world of online gambling, which were degni. Difficile you’ve never heard of the EGR awards, but for the uninitiated, are the most coveted titles from online casinos, as they are a symbol of quality and safety and a credit to each holder of such award.

This year’s event took place on November 26 at the Roundhouse, where as many as 27 were awarded prizes to the best players in the world of gambling. Those most honorees were 888 and Paddy Power, which they won three awards apiece.

888 has been nominated for 2013, practically, the most important title assigned by the EGR Awards. He has racked up nearly 3 most coveted prizes from online casinos!

Paddy Power, has won awards for its social marketing campaign for its range of financial betting and operator of Best Slot machines, in addition to being highly recommended as casino operators, even if you win this title was 888.

Even big names like William Hill and bet365 have received great accolades: WH was honored for his outstanding contribution in the field of gambling, a very prestigious title, while for sports betting is classical in -play the title of best operator of the year in this area went to Bet 365, also highly recommended for its mobile products.

So, this year 888 is confirmed as the biggest winner, and for those who have not yet tried his offer, you can click here to go directly to their website and Italian play immediately to the fantastic games that offers you, or you can read our review.